Following Becker et al. 2014 approach ( 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00597.1 ) 1-4 lead seasonal forecast correlation. The correlation is between HadISST and ensemble mean of simulation members.
| season | Lead Season = 1 | Lead Season = 2 | Lead Season = 3 | Lead Season = 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan prediction | ||||
| Apr prediction | ||||
| Jul prediction | ||||
| Oct prediction | ||||