README ------ This dataset contains monthly SAT output from a study with the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM) using proxy-based stochastic volcanic forcing to assess the effects of volcanic uncertainty in probabilistic 21st century climate projections. Experiments: historicalVolc: 1980-2005 simulations using historical volcanic forcing historicalNoVolc (no-Pinatubo): 1990-2004 simulations with zero volc. forcing rcp45Volc (VOLC): 2006-2099 simulations using different stochastic volc. forcings rcp45VolcConst (VOLC-CONST): 2006-2099 simulations using constant volc. forcing rcp45NoVolc (NoVOLC): 2006-2099 simulations with zero volcanic forcing Ensemble size and initialization: Each experiment comprises 60 simulation members. Note the original rcp45VolcConst from Bethke et al. 2017 comprised only 20 members and members 21-24 have been produced later in support of the study Man et al. 2021. The historicalVolc simulations are initialised from the three Jan 1 1980 states of NorESM1's three CMIP5 historical runs (mem1-20 <- CMIP5 mem1, mem21-40 <- CMIP5 mem2, mem41-60 <- CMIP5 mem3). A small temperature anomaly i.e. micro-perturbation is added the mixed layer temperatures of all members. Further details are provided in Section 4.2 in Outten et al. 2015. The historicalNoVolc, rcp45Volc, rcp45VolcConst and rcp45NoVolc simulations are all initialised from the historicalVolc experiment Variables: tas - 2m air temperature areacella - atmospheric grid cell area References: Bethke, I., Outten, S., Otterå, O. et al. Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability. Nature Clim Change 7, 799–805 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3394 Man, W., Zuo, M., Zhou, T., Fasullo, J. T., Bethke, I., Chen, X., et al. (2021). Potential influences of volcanic eruptions on future global land monsoon precipitation changes. Earth's Future, 9, e2020EF001803. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001803 Outten, S., P. Thorne, I. Bethke, and Ø. Seland (2015), Investigating the recent apparent hiatus in surface temperature increases: 1. Construction of two 30-member Earth System Model ensembles, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 8575–8596, doi:10.1002/2015JD023859